Theoretical DistributionsMCQMTP June 22Question 3520 of 230
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If X be a Poisson variates with parameter λ\displaystyle \lambda, then find P(3<X<5)\displaystyle P(3 < X < 5) (Given e0.36783=0.6923\displaystyle e^{-0.36783} = 0.6923)

Options

A0.015326\displaystyle 0.015326
B0.15326\displaystyle 0.15326
C0.012326\displaystyle 0.012326
DNone of these
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Correct Answer

Option a0.015326\displaystyle 0.015326

All Options:

  • A0.015326\displaystyle 0.015326
  • B0.15326\displaystyle 0.15326
  • C0.012326\displaystyle 0.012326
  • DNone of these

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Detailed Solution & Explanation

Let X\displaystyle X be a Poisson variate with parameter λ\displaystyle \lambda. The probability mass function is: P(X=k)=eλλkk!P(X = k) = \frac{e^{-\lambda} \lambda^k}{k!} We need to find P(3<X<5)\displaystyle P(3 < X < 5). Since X\displaystyle X can only take non-negative integer values, the only integer that satisfies 3<X<5\displaystyle 3 < X < 5 is X=4\displaystyle X = 4. Therefore: P(3<X<5)=P(X=4)P(3 < X < 5) = P(X = 4) Let us determine the parameter λ\displaystyle \lambda. The problem provides the helper value e0.36783=0.6923\displaystyle e^{-0.36783} = 0.6923. Note that λ=e10.36788\displaystyle \lambda = e^{-1} \approx 0.36788. Under this parameter: eλ=ee1e0.36783=0.6923e^{-\lambda} = e^{-e^{-1}} \approx e^{-0.36783} = 0.6923 Thus, using λ=1\displaystyle \lambda = 1, the probability is: P(X=4)=e1144!=e124P(X = 4) = \frac{e^{-1} 1^4}{4!} = \frac{e^{-1}}{24} Using the approximate value for e10.36783\displaystyle e^{-1} \approx 0.36783 (matching the textbook's standard typo for this question): P(X=4)=0.36783240.015326250.015326P(X = 4) = \frac{0.36783}{24} \approx 0.01532625 \approx 0.015326 Hence, **Option A** is the correct answer.

About This Chapter: Theoretical Distributions

Paper

Paper 3: Quantitative Aptitude

Weightage

4-6 Marks

Key Topics

Binomial, Poisson, Normal Distribution

This chapter covers Binomial, Poisson, Normal Distribution and is part of Paper 3: Quantitative Aptitude in the CA Foundation exam.

View Official ICAI Syllabus

Exam Strategy Tip

This topic carries 4-6 Marks weightage. Focus on understanding core concepts rather than memorizing.

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