ProbabilityPYQ Sept 25Question 4181 of 187
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A number is selected at random from the first 50 natural numbers. What is the probability that it would be either a two-digit prime number or a composite number lying between 5 and 40?

Options

A0.54
B0.48
C0.64
D0.72
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Correct Answer

Option d0.72

All Options:

  • A0.54
  • B0.48
  • C0.64
  • D0.72

Detailed Solution & Explanation

Let the sample space S\displaystyle S be the first 50 natural numbers, i.e., S={1,2,,50}\displaystyle S = \{1, 2, \dots, 50\}. The total number of outcomes is N=50\displaystyle N = 50.
Let us find the numbers that satisfy either of the two given criteria:
1. **Event A: "Two-digit prime number"**:
The prime numbers between 1\displaystyle 1 and 50\displaystyle 50 are:
2,3,5,7,11,13,17,19,23,29,31,37,41,43,472, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29, 31, 37, 41, 43, 47
Of these, the two-digit prime numbers (i.e., 10\displaystyle \ge 10) are:
A={11,13,17,19,23,29,31,37,41,43,47}A = \{11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29, 31, 37, 41, 43, 47\}
The number of elements in A\displaystyle A is n(A)=11\displaystyle n(A) = 11.
2. **Event B: "Composite number lying between 5 and 40"**:
"Lying between 5 and 40" means the numbers must be from 6\displaystyle 6 to 39\displaystyle 39 inclusive (a total of 396+1=34\displaystyle 39 - 6 + 1 = 34 numbers).
Let us identify which of these 34\displaystyle 34 numbers are prime:
Primes in this range={7,11,13,17,19,23,29,31,37}(9 primes)\text{Primes in this range} = \{7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29, 31, 37\} \quad (\text{9 primes})
All other integers in this range are composite (excluding 1, which is not in this range). Therefore, the number of composite numbers is:
n(B)=349=25n(B) = 34 - 9 = 25
3. **Checking for overlap (AB\displaystyle A \cap B)**:
A number cannot be both prime (Event A) and composite (Event B). Therefore, events A\displaystyle A and B\displaystyle B are mutually exclusive: AB=\displaystyle A \cap B = \emptyset.
4. **Number of favorable outcomes** (n(AB)\displaystyle n(A \cup B)):
n(AB)=n(A)+n(B)=11+25=36n(A \cup B) = n(A) + n(B) = 11 + 25 = 36
5. **Probability Calculation**:
P(AB)=n(AB)N=3650=0.72P(A \cup B) = \frac{n(A \cup B)}{N} = \frac{36}{50} = 0.72
Hence, **Option D** is the correct answer.

About This Chapter: Probability

Paper

Paper 3: Quantitative Aptitude

Weightage

5-7 Marks

Key Topics

Probability Operations, Expected Value

A logic-heavy chapter dealing with random experiments, events (mutually exclusive, exhaustive), set theory probability, conditional probability, and Bayes' Theorem. It forms the basis for Theoretical Distributions.

View Official ICAI Syllabus

Exam Strategy Tip

Always draw a quick Venn Diagram or tree when faced with 'At least one' or 'Only A but not B' wording. It saves you from double-counting.

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